Arsenal – Burnley: Statistics and prediction

18 May 2026

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Arsenal FC host Burnley FC knowing a victory could move them closer to a historic Premier League title.
Arsenal – Burnley: Statistics and prediction

Arsenal are now extremely close to winning their first Premier League title since the 2003/04 season.

After Manchester City dropped points recently, the Gunners returned to the top position in the title race and now control their own destiny heading into the final two rounds.

Victories against Burnley and Crystal Palace would secure the long-awaited championship.

Burnley playing only for pride

Burnley’s relegation was confirmed back in April, and the club enters this fixture with little left to fight for apart from pride.

The visitors are currently on a 10-match winless streak, losing seven of those games.

Key statistics

  • Arsenal kept clean sheets in 10 of 18 home league matches this season
  • Burnley failed to score in four of their last five meetings with Arsenal
  • Four of Arsenal’s last five matches ended under 2.5 goals
  • Six of the last eight meetings between these sides finished under 2.5 goals
  • Viktor Gyokeres has scored 14 league goals this season

Team news

Arsenal remain without Jurrien Timber, Mikel Merino and Ben White, while Riccardo Calafiori remains doubtful.

Burnley will miss Jordan Beyer and Josh Cullen through injury.


Prediction

Arsenal are overwhelming favourites and should dominate possession and chances throughout the match.

Given Burnley’s attacking struggles and Arsenal’s strong defensive record at home, Arsenal to win to nil stands out as the strongest betting option.




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