Burnley – Aston Villa: Statistics and Prediction

10 May 2026

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Aston Villa travel to Burnley after reaching the Europa League final, while the hosts are already relegated from the Premier League.
Burnley – Aston Villa: Statistics and Prediction

Aston Villa visit Turf Moor on Sunday to face Burnley in an important Premier League clash.

Villa arrive in strong spirits after qualifying for the UEFA Europa League final during the week and now turn their attention back to securing a top-five finish and Champions League football for next season.

Villa boosted after Europa League success

Aston Villa defeated Nottingham Forest 4-0 at Villa Park to complete an emphatic 8-1 aggregate victory and reach the Europa League final.

The result was also significant because it ended a three-match losing streak across all competitions.

Top-five race remains the priority

Unai Emery’s side are now focused on maintaining their place inside the Premier League’s top five positions.

Burnley enter new era after relegation

Burnley have already been relegated back to the Championship.

Scott Parker was recently dismissed following confirmation of relegation, with Michael Jackson taking over on an interim basis.

Burnley struggling badly

The Clarets have lost their last five matches and continue to develop a reputation as a “yo-yo” club after another immediate return to the Championship.

Still, Burnley will be hoping to play for pride in their remaining fixtures.

Ollie Watkins expected to lead the attack

Ollie Watkins suffered a head injury against Nottingham Forest and required bandaging, but he is expected to be fit for the trip to Turf Moor.

The striker remains one of Villa’s biggest attacking threats.

Burnley vs Aston Villa key stats

Match statistics

  • Burnley have lost their last five matches
  • Aston Villa ended a three-match losing streak with victory over Nottingham Forest
  • Villa have won four of the last five meetings between the sides
  • The last six meetings produced 23 goals combined
  • The average goals per game across those meetings stands at 3.8

Form guide

Recent results

Burnley:

  • Loss
  • Loss
  • Loss
  • Loss
  • Loss

Aston Villa:

  • Win
  • Loss
  • Loss
  • Loss
  • Win

Betting tips and prediction

Bookmakers have positioned Aston Villa as clear favourites due to the major gap in quality and motivation between the sides.

Burnley’s defensive struggles and relegation situation also strengthen Villa’s chances.

Hot tip

The last six meetings between these teams produced 23 total goals, making “Over 2.5 Goals” one of the standout betting options.




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