Zvezda play differently in Europe

Crvena Zvezda may be highly productive in domestic competitions, but in the Europa League they adopt a much more cautious approach.

They have gone under 2.5 goals in 8 of their 9 EL matches (89%).

Defense is their main weapon

Zvezda remain extremely disciplined at the back against strong opponents and avoid unnecessary risks.

Lille struggling in attack

Lille have recently been involved in low-scoring matches, with six consecutive games ending under 2.5 goals.

Their attacking issues are even more visible in away fixtures.

H2H stats tell the same story

Both meetings between the sides this season ended with 1-0 wins for Crvena Zvezda.

Prediction

An open game is unlikely here. Both teams tend to play cautiously, increasing the probability of a low-scoring outcome.

Main pick

Under 2.5 goals (50%)

HT result

1X (50%)

Why under 2.5?

• Zvezda won both H2H games this season 1-0

• 8 of Zvezda’s 9 Europa League matches ended under 2.5

• Lille recorded six consecutive under 2.5 results

• Lille scored just 3 goals in their last 6 away matches