17 July 2026
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![[Match of the Day] Mirassol - Gremio: Statistics and Prediction](https://api.scorewatt.com/uploads/blog-1784266990070-940116072.png)
The Brazilian championship resumes on Friday, July 17, 2026, with a vital bottom-of-the-table clash as Mirassol host Gremio at the José Maria de Campos Maia Stadium. Following the mid-season tournament break, the hosts restart their campaign in 19th place with 16 points, while the visitors sit 16th, hovering just a single point above the drop zone.
The opening half of the domestic season was a major disappointment for Mirassol. After last year’s historic fourth-place finish and a ticket to the Copa Libertadores, the team slumped into the relegation zone, entering the break on the back of a 0-1 away defeat to Athletico Paranaense.
On home turf, however, Mirassol have looked like a completely different side, winning five of their last six matches across all competitions. That impressive stretch included top-tier victories over Fluminense in Serie A and Always Ready in the Copa Libertadores. The squad has been boosted by the arrivals of Gustavo Silva and Bruno Santos, though Igor Formiga (thigh) and Firmino Araujo (knee) remain sidelined.
Gremio closed out the first half of the domestic calendar with a damaging 1-3 home defeat to Corinthians. With 21 points on the board, the Porto Alegre side are dangerously close to the relegation line, making a positive restart imperative. However, a grueling schedule featuring Copa Sudamericana and Copa do Brasil fixtures looms large.
Managerial plans have been disrupted by a severe selection crisis. Defensive pillars Marlon and Joao Pedro are out through injury, while Thiago Beltrame and Enamorado are both suspended following cards issued in the fiery match against Corinthians, severely weakening Gremio's spine.
Mirassol have won five of their last six home matches across all competitive systems.
The hosts boast a perfect 100% record against Gremio, winning all three historical meetings, including a 4-1 triumph in 2025.
Gremio sit 16th in the standings, just one point clear of the relegation threshold.
With both teams desperate to avoid defeat upon resumption, a cagey and cautious tactical approach is highly anticipated.
While Gremio picked up confidence-boosting friendly wins during the break, their extensive list of suspensions and injuries makes them massive underdogs on the road.
Mirassol’s incredible home record combined with their historical dominance over Gremio tips the scales firmly in favor of the hosts to secure a narrow, hard-fought victory.
Match Prediction: Mirassol to Win.
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