Senegal – Iraq: Statistics and Prediction

26 June 2026

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Senegal and Iraq meet in a must-win Group Stage clash as both sides fight to keep their World Cup hopes alive.
Senegal – Iraq: Statistics and Prediction

Senegal and Iraq will meet in the final round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage with both nations still chasing a slim chance of reaching the knockout rounds.

Victory is essential for both teams, while goal difference could also become a decisive factor.

Senegal Searching For Answers

Pap Thiaw's side entered the tournament with high expectations but suffered defeats against France and Norway.

Defensive Problems Continue

Despite creating plenty of attacking opportunities, Senegal have struggled defensively.

Kalidou Koulibaly has come under heavy criticism, while goalkeeper Edouard Mendy was substituted during the defeat to Norway after another disappointing defensive display.

Rotation Expected

With qualification hanging by a thread, changes to the starting lineup appear inevitable as Senegal look for a more balanced performance.

Iraq Continue To Fight

Graham Arnold's team have also lost both of their opening matches but have shown determination throughout the tournament.

Defensive Concentration Remains An Issue

Iraq have defended reasonably well during the early phases of matches but have repeatedly lost focus under sustained pressure, conceding six goals in two games.

Key Match Statistics

Senegal

  • No more than three goals have been scored in five of their last nine matches.
  • Have not won more than six corners in any of their last nine World Cup games.

Iraq

  • Nine of their last ten matches have produced no more than three goals.
  • Have conceded six goals after two group-stage fixtures.

Prediction

Senegal possess greater squad depth, more attacking quality and considerably more international experience than Iraq.

Although Iraq are capable of creating chances, Senegal should control possession, generate the better opportunities and eventually secure the victory they desperately need.

A high-scoring encounter still appears unlikely given the tactical importance of the fixture.


Prediction: Senegal to Win & Total Under 4.5 Goals.




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